mass autopilot is possible sometime in the near future
That is actually quite a claim, and you must have some insight that makes you so convinced. I am more reserved about these AI claims.
Driving in a snow storm at night is sometimes damn near impossible even with all the plasticity and magic of human brain. If its that hard to do with natural general intelligence, you have to expect the artificial device to have close to the same level of "plasticity" or ability to navigate these ill defined environments.
Think of that blizzard example at night, where you can't see a damn thing yet you just "go by feel" and follow the red taillights of car in front . Objectively, this is absolutely wrong, almost suicidal, but we can afford to ignore the fact that we are almost driving blind, because we have higher abstract levels of reasoning, far beyond the image recognizer / classifier ANN that Teslas autopilot is.
It is strange how half of the Silicon Valley and the entire auto industry has been sold on the idea of universal auto pilot in near future. Billions have been invested so far and we are no closer to the goal than we were year ago.
Could this all just be yet another sign that there is a tech bubble in the Valley that's much like the one in 2000? The absurd valuations of companies like Uber, Lyft, Waymo (Morgan Stanley has valued Waymo at 175 billion !!!!!!), Netflix, Beyond Meat etc certainly warrant this comparison.
Yes, we did get a very nice boost in AI / ANN industry in recent years, but this is a market thats flush with Federal Reserve induced free money (big guys can borrow for free) and it's a hammer that is constantly searching for any kind of a nail - anything tech related that shows any promise is met with deluge of investment and self perpetuating hype cycle which attracts yet more investment and more hype etc.
Just like the financial markets have frontrun the reality of growth and economy, I think we (or most of us) and definitely the Silicon Valley investors have frontrun all the possible growth and developments in AI and perhaps priced in things which are not possible or only possible after decades. Maybe this universal auto pilot is one of those things.